Breaking down the chart in Fossil Group, Inc

I mentioned today that $FOSL was “clearing the past weeks range and could be ready to attempt a move towards yearly highs” and I received a response asking why I thought it was headed to new highs. Of course I don’t know that its headed to new highs, but the price action is leading me to believe it will attempt to make a run at this years highs. I’ve received other questions recently on what I look for and thought it would be a good idea to break down what I see in the chart.


$FOSL had a strong gap on earnings in August that has resulted in a lengthy consolidation. It really had no follow through and traders that bought that gap are likely frustrated with the stock. However, $FOSL had already run up into earnings before the breakout and investors that were holding prior to the earnings gap are still comfortably in the money. The reason I mention this is that the price action in $FOSL is typical of a healthy consolidation. Sure the failure to continue running after earnings may be seen as a sign of weakness, but the stock never really reversed, and $FOSL has quietly been finding support on dips.

Traders have been willing to pay higher prices on recent trips to the 50-day moving average and $FOSL is now on the cusp of breaking over several week highs. So the short answer is I like this chart because it MAY be near the end of a consolidation, and its recent highs should act as a magnet if it can clear the mid 119’s. Overall its a bullish stock in a good sector. Whether it gets there or not, there are enough signals in the chart to have made it attractive to me.

That being said, I don’t own this stock as I already had enough risk on with my current portfolio, but hopefully breaking it down this way may be of value to some of you.


Good Trading,


follow me on stocktwits and twitter for more analysis on stocks and cool photos

The information in this blog post represents my own opinions and does not contain a recommendation for any particular security or investment. I or my affiliates may hold positions or other interests in securities mentioned in the Blog, please see my Disclaimer page for my full disclaimer.

blog comments powered by Disqus
Downtown Trader Blog